Julio YouBlow Strikes Again
May 8th, 2008I am blaming Lugo for last night’s frustrating loss. It seems to me that there really is no hope for this guy. How many errors does he have to have before we run him out of town like we did with Edgar Renteria? It didn’t help that Rentaria himself was the one to score the walk off run.

Boston Globe Photo
Fielding like this is simply unacceptable. This is his tenth error already (TENTH!) and its not like he is hitting the cover off the ball to make up for it. Yes, he did get on base twice last night (hit and a walk) and is hitting .293. This is better than last year, but still, he was brought in to be a lead-off hitter and have a high on base percentage and is now hitting 9th on most days with an OBP just 50 points higher than his average (Youkilis, Drew and Pedroia all have OBPs that are much closer to 100 points over their average). This means he isn’t walking enough.
The numbers are actually putting it better than it really is. A lot of Lugo’s “production” is coming from infield hits and generally lucky hits. He is fast, and has beat out several grounders for hits that have inflated his performance somewhat. The real problem is that pitchers know he is struggling overall this year and are pitching aggressively. He’s trying to see lots of pitches as is the Red Sox philosophy, but always seems to be falling behind in the count anyway.
His speed is what should be saving him this year. After all, even after a poor season hitting last year, he still stole 33 bases. But this year, he is 4 for 6 in SB attempts. 66% isn’t good enough for a base stealer, so that better change.
In conclusion, when I look at Julio Lugo, I see a struggling player who can barely hold down the #9 spot in the lineup. He hits way too many ground balls, doesn’t walk enough, and is on pace to make about 50 errors this year. I really don’t know how long the Sox are going to let Jed Lowrie sit behind him in the depth chart if he keeps playing like this. We all knew the Sox overpaid for Lugo when we got him, but even I expected more than this. Let’s go YouBlow - time to get that line drive power that the Sox thought you had back.











Tomorrow, we’ll get a crack as Jason Jennings. He’s been a mediocre pitcher since 2001, playing most of his time in Colorado and last year in Houston. He pitched only 98 innings last year and had some injury problems. He has a career ERA right around 5 and has been completely ineffective thus far this year, going 0-3 and only getting through the 5th inning once. He’s walked 10 to only 7 strikeouts and has been hit around pretty regularly. Jennings just might be the least scary pitcher in the American League today.
Sunday, the Sox get Kevin Millwood. If this were 3 years ago, this would be a tough match up. Millwood won the ERA title while pitching his only season in Cleveland in 2005, posting a 2.45 ERA over 192 innings. He then moved on to Texas, where he has been incredibly average. He’s already walked 10 guys this year, which is way above his average and though his ERA only comes in at 2.42, hitters are still hitting .277 against him. He did start opening day, and is probably the closest thing the Rangers have to an Ace pitcher, but he is certainly not the same guy he was when his career began 10 years ago. If Millwood can throw strikes and stay ahead of pitchers, he could easily turn in a good performance. He did go 8 innings against the Angels once this year, though got hit around by the same team in his last start. If I were a gambler, this would probably be the only time I wouldn’t be betting on the Red Sox.
And last but not least is Kason Gabbard who will get the start in the morning on Patriots Day. The man we traded for a 6.75 ERA in 20 games in Eric Gagne will return to Fenway. Gabbard is not exactly a top of the rotation guy, but you can be rest assured he is planning some payback for being shipped out in a trade. David Murphy will probably decide to help him out as well, as he’s been hitting quite well. Let’s hope we’re not blogging about how ex-Sox killed us Tuesday morning. Gabbard is 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA thus far this year and is looking like the best pitcher on the team (though that isn’t saying much). Why can’t we get guys like this?

